Open access papers are marked with *

Devictor, V., van Swaay, C., Brereton, T., Brotons, L., Chamberlain, D., Heliölä, J., Herrando, S., Julliard, R., Kuussaari, M., Lindström, Å., Reif, J., Roy, D.B., Schweiger, O., Settele, J., Stefanescu, C., Van Strien, A., Van Turnhout, C., Vermouzek, Z., WallisDeVries, M., Wynhoff, I. & Jiguet, F. 2012. Differences in the climatic debts of birds and butterflies at a continental scale. Nature Climate Change 2, 121-124.

Mair, L., Thomas, C.D., Anderson, B.J., Fox, R., Botham, M. & Hill, J.K. 2012. Temporal variation in responses of species to four decades of climate warming. Global Change Biology 18, 2439-2447.

Merckx, T., Feber, R.E., Hoare, D.J., Parsons, M.S., Kelly, C.J., Bourn, N.A.D. & Macdonald, D.W. 2012. Conserving threatened Lepidoptera: Towards an effective woodland management policy in landscapes under intense human land-use. Biological Conservation 149, 32-39.

*Oliver, T.H., Gillings, S. , Girardello, M. , Rapacciuolo, G. , Brereton, T.M., Siriwardena, G.M., Roy, D.B., Pywell, R. & Fuller, R.J. 2012. Population density but not stability can be predicted from species distribution models. Journal of Applied Ecology 49, 581-590.

Oliver, T.H., Roy, D.B., Brereton, T. & Thomas, J.A. 2012. Reduced variability in range‐edge butterfly populations over three decades of climate warming. Global Change Biology 18, 1531-1539.

Oliver, T.H., Thomas, C.D., Hill, J.K., Brereton, T. & Roy, D.B. 2012. Habitat associations of thermophilous butterflies are reduced despite climatic warming. Global Change Biology 18, 2720-2729.

Pateman, R.M., Hill, J.K., Roy, D.B., Fox, R. & Thomas, C.D. 2012. Temperature-dependent alterations in host use drive rapid range expansion in a butterfly. Science 336, 1028-1030.

*Rapacciuolo, G., Roy, D.B., Gillings, S., Fox, R., Walker, K. & Purvis, A. 2012.  Climatic associations of British species distributions show good transferability in time but low predictive accuracy for range change. PLoS ONE 7, e40212.

*Suggitt, A.J., Stefanescu, C., Páramo, F., Oliver, T., Anderson, B.J., Hill, J.K., Roy, D.B., Brereton T. & Thomas, C.D. 2012. Habitat associations of species show consistent but weak responses to climate. Biology Letters 8, 590-593.

*Thomas, C.D., Gillingham, P.K., Bradbury, R.B., Roy, D.B., Anderson, B.J., Baxter, J.M., Bourn, N.A.D., Crick, H.Q.P., Findon, R.A., Fox, R., Hodgson, J.A., Holt, A.R., Morecroft, M.D., O’Hanlon, N.J., Oliver, T.H., Pearce-Higgins, J.W., Procter, D.A., Thomas, J.A., Walker, K.J., Walmsley, C.A., Wilson, R.J. & Hill, J.K. 2012. Protected areas facilitate species’ range expansions. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 109, 14063-14068.

*van Swaay, C., Collins, C., Dušej, G., Maes, D., Munguira, M.L., Rakosy, L., Ryrholm, N., Šašić, M., Settele, J., Thomas, J., Verovnik, R., Verstrael, T., Warren, M., Wiemers, M. & Wynhoff, I. 2012. Dos and don'ts for butterflies of the Habitats Directive of the European Union. Nature Conservation 1, 73-153.

Woodcock, B.A., Bullock, J.M., Mortimer, S.R., Brereton, T., Redhead, J.W., Thomas, J.A. & Pywell, R.F. 2012. Identifying time lags in the restoration of grassland butterfly communities: A multi-site assessment. Biological Conservation 155, 50-58.